Pre-tourney Rankings
Wichita St.
Missouri Valley
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#19
Expected Predictive Rating+14.2#18
Pace61.8#284
Improvement-2.3#271

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#19
Improvement-3.2#323

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#19
Improvement+0.9#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 9.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 43.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.2% n/a n/a
Second Round62.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.2% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 113   New Mexico St. W 71-54 87%     1 - 0 +17.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 18, 2014 87   Memphis W 71-56 77%     2 - 0 +20.4 +2.7 +2.7
  Nov 29, 2014 74   Tulsa W 75-55 82%     3 - 0 +23.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 03, 2014 8   @ Utah L 68-69 OT 25%     3 - 1 +19.3 +10.1 +10.1
  Dec 06, 2014 268   Saint Louis W 81-52 97%     4 - 1 +20.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Dec 09, 2014 86   Seton Hall W 77-68 84%     5 - 1 +11.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Dec 13, 2014 190   @ Detroit Mercy W 77-68 86%     6 - 1 +10.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 16, 2014 58   Alabama W 53-52 77%     7 - 1 +6.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2014 238   Loyola Marymount W 80-53 94%     8 - 1 +22.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Dec 23, 2014 123   @ Hawaii W 80-79 OT 76%     9 - 1 +6.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 25, 2014 69   George Washington L 54-60 73%     9 - 2 +0.7 +3.4 +3.4
  Dec 31, 2014 245   @ Drake W 66-58 91%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +6.2 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2015 72   Illinois St. W 70-62 81%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +11.7 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 07, 2015 242   Bradley W 63-43 96%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +12.5 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 11, 2015 136   @ Loyola Chicago W 67-53 79%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +18.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 14, 2015 226   Southern Illinois W 67-55 95%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +5.8 -3.1 -3.1
  Jan 17, 2015 133   @ Evansville W 61-41 78%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +25.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Jan 21, 2015 246   @ Missouri St. W 76-53 91%     16 - 2 7 - 0 +21.1 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 25, 2015 245   Drake W 74-40 96%     17 - 2 8 - 0 +26.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 28, 2015 136   Loyola Chicago W 58-47 90%     18 - 2 9 - 0 +10.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 31, 2015 27   @ Northern Iowa L 54-70 43%     18 - 3 9 - 1 -1.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Feb 04, 2015 242   @ Bradley W 62-59 91%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +1.3 -0.9 -0.9
  Feb 07, 2015 246   Missouri St. W 78-35 96%     20 - 3 11 - 1 +35.3 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 11, 2015 170   Indiana St. W 74-57 93%     21 - 3 12 - 1 +13.6 -1.7 -1.7
  Feb 14, 2015 72   @ Illinois St. W 68-62 64%     22 - 3 13 - 1 +15.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 17, 2015 226   @ Southern Illinois W 84-62 89%     23 - 3 14 - 1 +21.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 22, 2015 133   Evansville W 62-43 90%     24 - 3 15 - 1 +18.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Feb 25, 2015 170   @ Indiana St. W 63-53 84%     25 - 3 16 - 1 +12.4 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 28, 2015 27   Northern Iowa W 74-60 65%     26 - 3 17 - 1 +23.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Mar 06, 2015 226   Southern Illinois W 56-45 93%     27 - 3 +7.7 -1.6 -1.6
  Mar 07, 2015 72   Illinois St. L 62-65 74%     27 - 4 +3.6 +3.3 +3.3
Projected Record 27.0 - 4.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 97.2% 97.2% 6.6 0.0 0.7 8.4 16.4 17.9 25.3 16.5 9.2 2.5 0.3 2.8 97.2%
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.2% 0.0% 97.2% 6.6 0.0 0.7 8.4 16.4 17.9 25.3 16.5 9.2 2.5 0.3 2.8 97.2%